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2022 U.S. Open picks, odds: Expert predictions, favorites to win from betting field at The Country Club

The 2022 U.S. Open is quick approaching its begin, so everybody within the golf world is left asking one key query: Who’re you selecting to win at The Nation Membership in Brookline, Massachusetts? An incredible subject headlines the third main of the yr because the listing options many of the finest professionals on the earth. The U.S. Open must be an epic experience from Thursday’s first spherical onward because the USGA returns to this website for the primary time since 1988.

This yr’s U.S. Open could have an enormous subject, however there’s plenty of momentum behind a finite listing of names to seize the nationwide championship. Rory McIlroy enters on a heater after defending his RBC Canadian Open title. Justin Thomas is seeking to go back-to-back at majors coming off his second such title on the PGA Championship. Scottie Scheffler’s play has cooled off, however he is making an attempt to affix rarified air with a Masters-U.S. Open double. All of that’s not to say Jon Rahm hanging round and Brooks Koepka’s typical dominance at this occasion the place he is solely been defeated by 4 golfers, mixed, at U.S. Opens since 2017.

After which, in fact, there may be the Phil Mickelson and Dustin Johnson storyline. What do you do with a few big-time names and a number of main winners who usually are not taking part in good golf however proceed to generate headlines getting into a significant championship? With no Tiger Woods, much more consideration than typical can be on Mickelson specifically this week.

Add all of it up, and it could seem that we’re in for a wild U.S. Open stuffed with surprising twists and turns but additionally plenty of acquainted names atop the leaderboard. Try our full U.S. Open TV schedule and coverage guide so you don’t miss a minute of the motion.

So what’s going to occur this week in Brookline? Let’s check out a full set of predictions and picks from our CBS Sports activities specialists as we try and challenge who will win and what’s going to occur on the third main of the season. Odds by way of Caesars Sportsbook.

2022 U.S. Open professional picks, predictions

Kyle Porter, senior golf author

Winner — Justin Thomas (11-1): He is taking part in the very best golf of his profession and has paired an ever-present confidence that no person on the earth is best than him with a knowledge that may solely be attained with age and expertise. J.T. is among the three finest iron gamers on the planet, and his sizzling putter has translated to wins and close to wins for the final two months. That is not going to alter this week as he pulls even with Jordan Spieth with three profession main championships.

Sleeper — Davis Riley (60-1): Quietly taking part in a few of the finest golf on the earth, Riley’s swing reeks of 1 that might declare a U.S. Open trophy. What he does finest (smash irons) is exactly what you need to do best at main championships and particularly at U.S. Opens. 5 straight prime 20s for Riley (together with the PGA Championship) that I anticipate him to make six. 

Prime 10 lock — Brooks Koepka: I am banking on getting U.S. Open Brooks as a substitute of “remainder of the yr” Brooks. He is completed 1-1-2-T4 consecutively at this event and understands its rhythms maybe higher than anybody in historical past. Is he taking part in nicely? Probably not, however he missed three of 4 cuts heading into final yr’s U.S. Open after which almost received it. 

Star who positively will not win — Dustin Johnson: The explanations listed here are a number of. The primary is that he is not taking part in significantly nice golf. He additionally does not have a win for the reason that 2020 Masters and solely has one prime 10 in a PGA Tour stroke play occasion thus far this yr. Moreover, this week has been such a circus that even D.J. needs to be feeling it. He is amongst these spearheading the rival LIV Golf league, and although his exterior appears to be impermeable, the din has change into so loud that I am not even positive he can ignore it. 

Shock prediction — Thomas and Rory McIlroy duel on Sunday: I do not know if it is a shock that two of the 5 finest golfers on the earth would jab one another for one of many 4 most coveted titles, however the dream state of affairs (a redux from final weekend’s Canadian Open) not often performs out like this. It might be the right ending to a fortnight of insanity within the golf world.

Phil Mickelson prediction — Relevance has already handed this week: We have already heard what we are going to get from Mickelson this week. He isn’t taking part in good golf proper now, and he is definitely not going to make the minimize at a U.S. Open. He hasn’t completed on the prime 25 at this event since he almost received in 2013.

Lowest spherical: 65 (-5)
Successful rating: 278 (-2)
Winner’s Sunday rating: 70 (E)

Patrick McDonald, golf author

Winner — Patrick Cantlay (25-1): The most important championship report is poor, however take out his missed cuts on the PGA Championship and The Gamers Championship, and Cantlay has unbelievable this yr. In these 10 begins, he has a win, two playoff losses, three top-five finishes and one other prime 10. I really like the reigning PGA Tour Participant of the Yr once we get him on a golf course the place off the tee prowess can be influential in figuring out the winner. He has the whole package deal, and it’s time for him to shed the monkey off his again.

Sleeper — Corey Conners (45-1): He was a semifinalist on the 2013 U.S. Novice, which is sweet, however the present state of the Canadian’s recreation is tailor made for a U.S. Open. Correct off the tee and lethal together with his irons, Conners has skilled an uptick in his short-game numbers the previous three months. If he can convert sufficient of these essential up-and-down saves, he must be proper there come Sunday.

Prime 10 lock — Shane Lowry: Lowry’s first style of main championship competition was the 2016 U.S. Open at Oakmont. Ever since, I’ve believed his recreation to be excellent for the sternest examination in golf. He’s within the midst of a few of the finest type of his life, and the consistency through which he hits fairways and greens in regulation will enable him to be an element at The Nation Membership. 

Star who will not win — Cameron Smith: Accuracy hasn’t mattered all an excessive amount of in current U.S. Opens, however this yr can be totally different. If this idea holds substance, the Australian will wrestle as he repeatedly loses strokes off the tee as a consequence of his waywardness with driver in hand. Smith has contended within the first two majors of the yr so this comes with a excessive degree of threat, however I might see the world No. 6 taking part in protection from the beginning.

Shock prediction — Rory McIlroy misses the minimize: I’ve McIlroy lacking the minimize one out of each 5 occasions, so there may be some worth in his prop in the event you select to indulge. The four-time main champion was runner-up at the Masters, first-round chief on the PGA Championship and all indicators level to him grabbing No. 5 at The Nation Membership. It was an exhausting week in Canada, and whereas his play is starting to reflect that of 2014, the occasional psychological lapse and inaccuracy off the tee might spell bother for him. 

Phil Mickelson prediction — Missed minimize regardless of constructive fan response: With two spicy takes out of the best way, we now go to one thing way more bland. The notion round Phil is not nice in the meanwhile, however I anticipate the Boston followers to welcome him with open arms — exterior of the occasional heckler. Regardless of this, allow us to do not forget that it is a 52-year-old who has solely performed three aggressive rounds within the final 4 months and confirmed appreciable rust in London.

Lowest spherical: 66 (-4)
Successful rating: 278 (-2)
Winner’s Sunday rating: 70 (E)

Who will win the U.S. Open, and which lengthy photographs will stun {the golfing} world? Visit SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard and best bets, all from the mannequin that is nailed eight golf majors and is up over $9,500 for the reason that restart.

Kyle Boone, author

Winner — Cameron Smith (18-1): Brookline goes to demand exactly what Smith can carry: a killer quick recreation for its lightning-quick greens and precision off the tees for the quite a few blind photographs golfers can be making this week. Smith is third on the PGA Tour this season in strokes gained method and eleventh in strokes gained with the putter. If he performs his recreation, he’ll be within the combine, and we have already seen him this season cling with the large canine with wins at The Gamers Championship and the Sentry Open plus top-five finishes on the Masters and the RSM Traditional.

Sleeper — Mito Pereira (55-1): With eight prime 25 finishes in 21 occasions on the season, the 27-year-old Pereira is quietly placing collectively a breakout yr in what’s successfully his rookie marketing campaign. 3 times he is completed among the many prime 10, together with twice in his final three outings. A kind of led to heartbreak, as he held the lead strolling to gap No. 72 on the PGA Championship earlier than giving up the lead because of a bungled drive. Nonetheless, Pereira is a reputation who might — however shouldn’t be — neglected this week given his play thus far. At 55-1, he qualifies as probably the most succesful underdog contenders on this yr’s U.S. Open subject.

Prime 10 lock — Rory McIlroy: It appears like this week is setting as much as be a Rory coronation. On prime of a win on the Canadian Open final weekend, he is bought top-10 finishes at three of his final 4 occasions: the Masters, Wells Fargo Championship and PGA Championship. At this level, it isn’t a fluke: McIlroy has discovered his kind and is hitting stride on the proper time. He is the favourite for a cause this week and ending prime 10 must be the ground.

Star who positively will not win — Dustin Johnson: If you have not caught the information these days, D.J. lately could also be a tad, nicely, distracted. He grew to become the primary main domino to affix the LIV Golf tour for a reported $125 million, and he subsequently withdrew his PGA Tour membership. There’s rather a lot happening in his world. On the course, there’s cause to counsel the previous world No. 1 will not win. He completed six strokes off the chief at LIV’s first occasion, which featured a weak subject. And within the PGA Tour season, he had extra missed cuts than prime 10s on the yr.  

Shock prediction — Sam Burns finishes within the prime 5: Burns is 25-1 to win straight up. Don’t hate these odds one bit, however a top-five end is a a lot safer wager. Since profitable on the Valspar Championship in March, he has two top-five finishes and one other win (on the Charles Schwab two weeks in the past). He is additionally coming in to the weekend with a T4 on the Canadian Open the place he was in a position to cling powerful with the likes of Thomas, Shane Lowry and Scottie Scheffler.

Phil Mickelson prediction — Missed minimize: Lefty shot 10 over in three rounds final weekend, his first aggressive motion since a months-long hiatus that started in February. There isn’t any cause to anticipate he’ll do something however miss the minimize. Even earlier than his time away, he missed cuts in his final two outings. He is an extended methods away from discovering the identical kind that helped him win on the PGA Championship in beautiful trend a yr in the past.

Lowest spherical: 64 (-6)
Successful rating: 267 (-13)
Winner’s Sunday rating: 68 (-2)

Jacob Hallex, First Reduce producer

Winner — Rory McIlroy (10-1): The oddsmakers have McIlroy pegged as the favourite. I believe they’re proper on. We have seen glimpses of his greatness all through this season: the Sunday 64 at Augusta Nationwide, his first-round assertion on the PGA Championship. Rory is generational driver of the golf ball who was in a position to win final week at one other traditional course, albeit that one had much less penal tough. One other main win is coming for McIlroy sooner or later; it simply has to, proper? The final participant to win on the PGA Tour and observe it with a significant victory was McIlroy himself again in 2014 the place he received WGC-Bridgestone forward of his PGA victory at Valhalla.

Prime 10 lock — Cameron Smith: You may write it in ink that Smith can be on my betting card for the foreseeable future. The driving force is at all times a priority, which is why I am much less bullish on the outright win, however his iron-game, placing and skill to get the ball up and down from seemingly anyplace makes me suppose a prime 10 is in play. He is had his fair proportion of struggles at U.S. Opens up to now with solely a T4 because the standout end. That got here in 2015 at Chambers Bay, a course fairly totally different from the standard U.S. Open venue. Nonetheless, I’ll stick with my conviction. I consider he’s the very best participant on the earth with out a main, so let’s take him for a top-10 end.

Star who positively will not win — Brooks Koepka: Brooks could be previous his prime within the majors. Please no person present him this as a result of that is the precise factor he would use as motivation to exit win one other U.S. Open. The fact is that the outcomes simply have not been there for him this yr, and he hasn’t been taking part in a lot in any respect. He may need performed some aggressive rounds throughout his bachelor occasion, however since I can solely see what he did on the PGA and Masters this yr, I will move on Koepka as a reliable contender.

Shock prediction — Louis Oosthuizen makes a run: Oosty would possibly come into the week as LIV Golf’s prime contender. Driving accuracy is an asset at traditional programs the USGA loves, and you will not discover many extra correct drivers than Louis. He is completed inside the highest 10 every of those previous three seasons. Whereas he’s 65-1 to win this week, it’s price a tiny sprinkle in the event you’re inclined. 

Phil Mickelson prediction — Missed minimize: This may not be a lot of a shock, nevertheless it appears like Phil goes to overlook the minimize. His press convention Monday seemed like an obligation of which he hated each minute. Exhibiting up this week and taking part in appears like one other obligation, however he cannot precisely miss the U.S. Open given it is the lone gap in his stellar profession. The burden of the golf world is on his shoulders, and it is a burden he went out of his option to carry. That a lot exterior stress cannot carry success on the golf course, particularly contemplating his earlier kerfuffles with the USGA.

Lowest spherical: 66 (-4)
Successful rating: 264 (-6)
Winner’s Sunday rating: 69 (-1)

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